• Denise Hurd
  • 10/22/25

Will the Arizona Housing Market Crash?

If you’ve been watching the news or scrolling through social media, you’ve probably seen predictions about housing market “crashes” or “corrections.” And it’s fair to wonder what that means for Arizona homeowners and buyers.

The good news? Arizona’s housing market is not on the verge of a crash. While prices have cooled slightly from the record highs of the last few years, the market remains stable—and continues to show long-term strength.

As someone who works every day with buyers and sellers across Metro Phoenix, Gilbert, Scottsdale, Mesa, Queen Creek, Chandler, and Paradise Valley, here’s what I’m seeing on the ground.


Why the Arizona Market Isn’t Crashing

  1. Steady Demand
    Arizona continues to attract new residents from other states, especially those looking for sunshine, affordability, and job opportunities. The steady flow of relocation keeps housing demand healthy.

  2. Limited Inventory
    While inventory has improved, it’s still below pre-pandemic levels. Fewer homes available means prices are supported, not collapsing.

  3. Strong Employment & Economy
    Tech, healthcare, and education sectors continue to expand throughout the Valley, supporting stable incomes and buyer confidence.

  4. Different Fundamentals from 2008
    Lending practices today are stricter, and most homeowners have significant equity. This means even if prices adjust, very few owners are at risk of foreclosure.


What’s Actually Happening in 2025

  • Prices: Have leveled out but remain strong across most areas.

  • Buyer Activity: Increasing again thanks to stable interest rates and more inventory.

  • Sellers: Need to price strategically—but well-presented homes are still selling quickly.

So no, the Arizona housing market isn’t crashing—it’s normalizing. And for serious buyers and sellers, that’s a healthy sign.


FAQs About the Arizona Housing Market

Q: Are Arizona home prices going to drop dramatically?
A: Unlikely. While some neighborhoods may see small adjustments, Arizona’s growing population and strong economy prevent a sharp downturn.

Q: How does today’s market compare to 2008?
A: It’s completely different. Homeowners today have much more equity, and lending regulations are far stronger.

Q: Is now a safe time to buy?
A: Yes. Stabilized prices and reduced competition make this an ideal time for buyers looking for long-term value.

Q: Will prices go back up?
A: Gradual appreciation is expected as population growth and demand continue across the Valley.

Q: Which Arizona cities hold value best?
A: Scottsdale, Chandler, and Gilbert consistently rank among the strongest markets, with Queen Creek and Mesa seeing steady growth.


Why This Matters

Real estate decisions should be based on facts, not fear. Arizona’s market isn’t crashing—it’s correcting after several years of record-breaking activity. With smart planning and local expertise, you can make a move that supports your long-term goals.


Ready to Make Your Move with Confidence?

Whether you’re buying your first home or selling one in today’s evolving market, I’ll help you understand the numbers, the trends, and your best timing. Let’s create a strategy that works for you—no guessing, no stress.

📞 480-980-4400
📧 [email protected]
🌐 www.denisehurd.com

Let’s talk about your Arizona real estate strategy today.

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